Certor

Monza – Fiorentina

Serie A · January 13, 2025

Monza 2–1 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monza 23% X · 28% 2 · Fiorentina 49%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals0.91 – 1.47
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 11, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.