Certor

Monza – Genoa

Serie A · August 24, 2024

Monza 0–1 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monza 39% X · 30% 2 · Genoa 31%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.20 – 1.04
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 24, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.