Certor

Monza – Lecce

Serie A · February 16, 2025

Monza 0–0 Lecce

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monza 38% X · 32% 2 · Lecce 30%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals1.13 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.