Certor

Monza – Milan

Serie A · February 18, 2024

Monza 4–2 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monza 22% X · 27% 2 · Milan 51%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.93 – 1.57
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 17, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.