Certor

Monza – Napoli

Serie A · April 7, 2024

Monza 2–4 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monza 17% X · 24% 2 · Napoli 59%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.88 – 1.80
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 6, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.