Certor

Monza – Napoli

Serie A · April 19, 2025

Monza 0–1 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monza 12% X · 24% 2 · Napoli 64%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals0.69 – 1.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 19, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.