Certor

Monza – Parma

Serie A · March 15, 2025

Monza 1–1 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monza 37% X · 29% 2 · Parma 34%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.27 – 1.22
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.