Certor

Monza – Roma

Serie A · October 6, 2024

Monza 1–1 Roma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monza 24% X · 28% 2 · Roma 48%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals0.96 – 1.46
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 5, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.