Certor

Monza – Torino

Serie A · November 11, 2023

Monza 1–1 Torino

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Monza 38% X · 30% 2 · Torino 32%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.16 – 1.05
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 11, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.