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Moreirense – Alverca

Primeira Liga · August 10, 2025

Moreirense 2–1 Alverca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Moreirense 50% X · 26% 2 · Alverca 24%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.45 – 0.89
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 8, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.