Moreirense – Arouca
Primeira Liga · March 21, 2026
Moreirense
0–1
Arouca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Moreirense 46%
X · 25%
2 · Arouca 29%
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Expected goals | 1.47 – 1.11 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
March 15, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.