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Moreirense – Estrela

Primeira Liga · April 7, 2024

Moreirense 2–2 Estrela

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Moreirense 45% X · 28% 2 · Estrela 27%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.27 – 0.91
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 5, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.