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Moreirense – Farense

Primeira Liga · September 23, 2023

Moreirense 1–0 Farense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Moreirense 40% X · 27% 2 · Farense 33%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.24 – 1.09
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.