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Moreirense – Guimaraes

Primeira Liga · November 5, 2023

Moreirense 1–0 Guimaraes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Moreirense 35% X · 27% 2 · Guimaraes 38%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.14 – 1.21
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 3, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.