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Moreirense – Porto

Primeira Liga · August 14, 2023

Moreirense 1–2 Porto

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Moreirense 10% X · 18% 2 · Porto 72%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals0.63 – 2.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 11, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.