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Moreirense – Rio Ave

Primeira Liga · September 13, 2025

Moreirense 3–1 Rio Ave

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Moreirense 42% X · 27% 2 · Rio Ave 31%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.28 – 1.04
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.