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Moreirense – Sp Lisbon

Primeira Liga · December 5, 2024

Moreirense 2–1 Sp Lisbon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Moreirense 14% X · 20% 2 · Sp Lisbon 66%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals0.77 – 1.95
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 29, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.