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NAC Breda – Nijmegen

Eredivisie · January 17, 2026

NAC Breda 3–4 Nijmegen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · NAC Breda 23% X · 25% 2 · Nijmegen 52%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.01 – 1.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 17, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.