Certor

Nacional – Benfica

Primeira Liga · November 29, 2025

Nacional 1–2 Benfica

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nacional 9% X · 15% 2 · Benfica 76%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals0.67 – 2.41
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 28, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.