Nacional – Casa Pia
Primeira Liga · February 8, 2026
Nacional
0–0
Casa Pia
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Nacional 41%
X · 26%
2 · Casa Pia 33%
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Expected goals | 1.33 – 1.16 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 8, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.