Certor

Nacional – Estoril

Primeira Liga · March 15, 2026

Nacional 0–1 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nacional 36% X · 25% 2 · Estoril 39%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.39 – 1.45
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 15, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.