Nacional – Estrela
Primeira Liga · April 4, 2026
Nacional
2–0
Estrela
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Nacional 45%
X · 27%
2 · Estrela 28%
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Expected goals | 1.35 – 1.00 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 3, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.