Certor

Nacional – Moreirense

Primeira Liga · December 14, 2024

Nacional 1–0 Moreirense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nacional 29% X · 27% 2 · Moreirense 44%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals0.96 – 1.27
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 14, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.