Certor

Nacional – Porto

Primeira Liga · January 12, 2025

Nacional 2–0 Porto

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nacional 7% X · 14% 2 · Porto 79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals0.54 – 2.41
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 12, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.