Nacional – Porto
Primeira Liga · February 15, 2026
Nacional
0–1
Porto
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Nacional 10%
X · 18%
2 · Porto 72%
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Expected goals | 0.64 – 2.11 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 15, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.