Certor

Nacional – Santa Clara

Primeira Liga · January 11, 2026

Nacional 3–3 Santa Clara

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nacional 35% X · 29% 2 · Santa Clara 36%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals1.03 – 1.05
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 11, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.