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Nacional – Sp Braga

Primeira Liga · February 28, 2026

Nacional 1–2 Sp Braga

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nacional 19% X · 21% 2 · Sp Braga 60%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals0.94 – 1.91
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 22, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.