Certor

Nantes – Lens

Ligue 1 · December 6, 2025

Nantes 1–2 Lens

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nantes 25% X · 27% 2 · Lens 48%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals0.96 – 1.43
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 5, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.