Certor

Nantes – Lille

Ligue 1 · March 15, 2025

Nantes 1–0 Lille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nantes 23% X · 28% 2 · Lille 49%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals0.93 – 1.47
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 14, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.