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Nantes – Lorient

Ligue 1 · September 23, 2023

Nantes 5–3 Lorient

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nantes 43% X · 28% 2 · Lorient 29%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.43 – 1.14
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 22, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.