Certor

Nantes – Nice

Ligue 1 · January 25, 2026

Nantes 1–4 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nantes 31% X · 26% 2 · Nice 43%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.17 – 1.42
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 23, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.