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Nantes – Paris FC

Ligue 1 · January 18, 2026

Nantes 1–2 Paris FC

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nantes 39% X · 28% 2 · Paris FC 33%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.26 – 1.15
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 16, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.