Certor

Nantes – Paris SG

Ligue 1 · April 22, 2025

Nantes 1–1 Paris SG

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Nantes 13% X · 19% 2 · Paris SG 68%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals0.94 – 2.30
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.