Certor

Napoli – Atalanta

Serie A · November 22, 2025

Napoli 3–1 Atalanta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 49% X · 27% 2 · Atalanta 24%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.62 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.