Certor

Napoli – Cagliari

Serie A · August 30, 2025

Napoli 1–0 Cagliari

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 67% X · 22% 2 · Cagliari 11%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals1.95 – 0.67
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 30, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.