Certor

Napoli – Cremonese

Serie A · April 24, 2026

Napoli 4–0 Cremonese

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 76% X · 17% 2 · Cremonese 7%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score40%
Expected goals2.31 – 0.57
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.