Certor

Napoli – Frosinone

Serie A · October 10, 2026

Napoli 3–0 Frosinone

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 64% X · 21% 2 · Frosinone 15%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.09 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.