Napoli – Genoa
Serie A · October 5, 2025
Napoli
2–1
Genoa
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Napoli 67%
X · 22%
2 · Genoa 11%
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Expected goals | 1.89 – 0.63 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
October 4, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.