Certor

Napoli – Juventus

Serie A · January 25, 2025

Napoli 2–1 Juventus

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 43% X · 30% 2 · Juventus 27%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.33 – 1.02
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 25, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.