Certor

Napoli – Lazio

Serie A · September 2, 2023

Napoli 1–2 Lazio

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 56% X · 23% 2 · Lazio 21%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.88 – 1.06
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 2, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.