Certor

Napoli – Lazio

Serie A · April 18, 2026

Napoli 0–2 Lazio

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 52% X · 26% 2 · Lazio 22%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.57 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.