Certor

Napoli – Milan

Serie A · March 30, 2025

Napoli 2–1 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 48% X · 26% 2 · Milan 26%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.67 – 1.16
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 29, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.