Certor

Napoli – Parma

Serie A · August 31, 2024

Napoli 2–1 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 78% X · 14% 2 · Parma 8%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals2.85 – 0.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 31, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.