Certor

Napoli – Parma

Serie A · January 14, 2026

Napoli 0–0 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 68% X · 21% 2 · Parma 11%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score42%
Expected goals1.96 – 0.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.