Certor

Napoli – Roma

Serie A · November 24, 2024

Napoli 1–0 Roma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 54% X · 25% 2 · Roma 21%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.79 – 1.03
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 23, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.