Certor

Napoli – Roma

Serie A · October 24, 2026

Napoli 3–3 Roma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 46% X · 27% 2 · Roma 27%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.43 – 1.05
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 24, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.