Certor

Napoli – Salernitana

Serie A · January 13, 2024

Napoli 2–1 Salernitana

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Napoli 80% X · 14% 2 · Salernitana 6%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals2.72 – 0.66
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.