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Newcastle – Arsenal

Premier League · September 28, 2025

Newcastle 1–2 Arsenal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Newcastle 25% X · 27% 2 · Arsenal 48%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.00 – 1.47
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 27, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.