Newcastle – Arsenal
Premier League · September 28, 2025
Newcastle
1–2
Arsenal
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Newcastle 25%
X · 27%
2 · Arsenal 48%
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Expected goals | 1.00 – 1.47 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 27, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.