Newcastle – Aston Villa
Premier League · August 12, 2023
Newcastle
5–1
Aston Villa
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Newcastle 50%
X · 25%
2 · Aston Villa 25%
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 0.99 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
August 11, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.