Newcastle – Aston Villa
Premier League · January 25, 2026
Newcastle
0–2
Aston Villa
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Newcastle 45%
X · 26%
2 · Aston Villa 29%
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Expected goals | 1.67 – 1.31 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 24, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.